decoration decoration
Stories

GROKLAW
When you want to know more...
decoration
For layout only
Home
Archives
Site Map
Search
About Groklaw
Awards
Legal Research
Timelines
ApplevSamsung
ApplevSamsung p.2
ArchiveExplorer
Autozone
Bilski
Cases
Cast: Lawyers
Comes v. MS
Contracts/Documents
Courts
DRM
Gordon v MS
GPL
Grokdoc
HTML How To
IPI v RH
IV v. Google
Legal Docs
Lodsys
MS Litigations
MSvB&N
News Picks
Novell v. MS
Novell-MS Deal
ODF/OOXML
OOXML Appeals
OraclevGoogle
Patents
ProjectMonterey
Psystar
Quote Database
Red Hat v SCO
Salus Book
SCEA v Hotz
SCO Appeals
SCO Bankruptcy
SCO Financials
SCO Overview
SCO v IBM
SCO v Novell
SCO:Soup2Nuts
SCOsource
Sean Daly
Software Patents
Switch to Linux
Transcripts
Unix Books

Gear

Groklaw Gear

Click here to send an email to the editor of this weblog.


You won't find me on Facebook


Donate

Donate Paypal


No Legal Advice

The information on Groklaw is not intended to constitute legal advice. While Mark is a lawyer and he has asked other lawyers and law students to contribute articles, all of these articles are offered to help educate, not to provide specific legal advice. They are not your lawyers.

Here's Groklaw's comments policy.


What's New

STORIES
No new stories

COMMENTS last 48 hrs
No new comments


Sponsors

Hosting:
hosted by ibiblio

On servers donated to ibiblio by AMD.

Webmaster
Nah, Hanlon's Razor | 174 comments | Create New Account
Comments belong to whoever posts them. Please notify us of inappropriate comments.
Nah, Hanlon's Razor
Authored by: Anonymous on Tuesday, May 07 2013 @ 09:43 PM EDT
I think the ugly design is just the way the military work, they don't
know any better, or care. It will achieve its desired effect if
congress critters get angry or scared trying to read it and just
tick the box OK/TLDR.

As for transcribing it, the main message I take away, in the context
of Bill Gates apparent ignorance of China as an IT competitor,
if you continue to treat China as an enemy, don't expect any
co-operation on IP rights, technical standards, trade harmony, ...

[ Reply to This | Parent | # ]

Wierd typefaces and fonts --> Virus Alert (so transcribe as text, please)
Authored by: Anonymous on Tuesday, May 07 2013 @ 10:31 PM EDT
Cut and paste from the PDF.
Parts are out of sequence.

######

OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
ANNUAL REPORT
TO CONGRESS
Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China 2013
Office of the Secretary of Defense
Preparation of this report cost the Department of Defense a total of
approximately $95,000 in Fiscal Years 2012-2013.OFFICE OF THE
SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of ChinaOFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF
DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
Annual Report to Congress:
Military and Security Developments Involving
the People’s Republic of China 2013
A Report to Congress Pursuant to the National Defense Authorization
Act for
Fiscal Year 2000
Section 1246, “Annual Report on Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of
China,” of the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2010,
Public Law 111-84, which amends
the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2000, Section
1202, Public Law 106-65, provides that
the Secretary of Defense shall submit a report “in both classified and
unclassified form, on military and
security developments involving the People’s Republic of China. The
report shall address the current and
probable future course of military-technological development of the
People’s Liberation Army and the tenets
and probable development of Chinese security strategy and military
strategy, and of the military organizations
and operational concepts supporting such development over the next
20 years. The report shall also address
U.S.-China engagement and cooperation on security matters during the
period covered by the report,
including through U.S.-China military-to-military contacts, and the U.S.
strategy for such engagement and
cooperation in the future.”OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
Executive SummaryOFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
THE PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC OF CHINA (PRC)
continues
to
pursue
a
long-term,
comprehensive
military
modernization
program designed to improve the capacity of
its armed forces to fight and win short-
duration, high-intensity regional military
conflict. Preparing for potential conflict in the
Taiwan Strait appears to remain the principal
focus and primary driver of China’s military
investment. However, as China’s interests
have grown and as it has gained greater
influence in the international system, its
military modernization has also become
increasingly focused on investments in military
capabilities to conduct a wider range of
missions beyond its immediate territorial
concerns,
including
counter-piracy,
peacekeeping, humanitarian assistance/disaster
relief, and regional military operations. Some
of these missions and capabilities can address
international security challenges, while others
could serve more narrowly-defined PRC
interests and objectives, including advancing
territorial claims and building influence abroad.
To support the Chinese People’s Liberation
Army’s (PLA) expanding set of roles and
missions, China’s leaders in 2012 sustained
investment in advanced short- and medium-
range conventional ballistic missiles, land-
attack and anti-ship cruise missiles, counter-
space weapons, and military cyberspace
capabilities that appear designed to enable anti-
access/area-denial (A2/AD) missions (what
PLA strategists refer to as “counter-
The PLA also
intervention operations”).
continued to improve capabilities in nuclear
deterrence and long-range conventional strike;
advanced fighter aircraft; limited regional
power projection, with the commissioning of
China’s first aircraft carrier, the Liaoning;
integrated air defenses; undersea warfare;
improved command and control; and more
sophisticated training and exercises across
China’s air, naval, and land forces.
During their January 2011 summit, U.S.
President Barack Obama and then-PRC
President Hu Jintao jointly affirmed that a
“healthy, stable, and reliable military-to-military
relationship is an essential part of [their] shared
vision for a positive, cooperative, and
comprehensive
U.S.-China
relationship.”
Within that framework, the U.S. Department
of Defense seeks to build a military-to-military
relationship with China that is sustained and
substantive, while encouraging China to
cooperate with the United States, our allies and
partners, and the greater international
community in the delivery of public goods. As
the United States builds a stronger foundation
for a military-to-military relationship with
China, it also will continue to monitor China’s
evolving military strategy, doctrine, and force
development and encourage China to be more
transparent about its military modernization
program. In concert with its allies and partners,
the United States will continue adapting its
forces, posture, and operational concepts to
maintain a stable and secure Asia-Pacific
security environment.
iOFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
ContentsOFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
Executive Summary i
Chapter 1: Annual Update 1
Chapter 2: Understanding China’s Strategy 15
Chapter 3: Force Modernization Goals and Trends 29
Chapter 4: Resources for Force Modernization 45
Chapter 5: Force Modernization for a Taiwan Contingency 55
Chapter 6: U.S.-China Military-to-Military Contacts 61
Special Topic: Space-Based Imaging and Remote Sensing 65
Special Topic: China’s First Aircraft Carrier 65
Special Topic: PLA Air Force Stealth Aircraft 66
Special Topic: PLA Integrated Air Defenses 67
Appendix I: Military-to-Military Exchanges 69
Appendix II: China and Taiwan Forces Data 75
Appendix III: Additional Maps and Chart 79
OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
1
ANNUAL UPDATEOFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
DEVELOPMENTS IN CHINA’S
BILATERAL OR MULTILATERAL
RELATIONSHIPS
China’s military engagement with other
countries seeks to enhance China’s
international presence and influence by
improving relationships with foreign militaries,
bolstering China’s international and regional
image, and assuaging other countries’
concerns about China’s rise. The People’s
Liberation Army’s (PLA) engagement
activities assist its modernization through the
acquisition of advanced weapons systems and
technologies, increased operational experience
both throughout and beyond Asia, and access
to foreign military practices, operational
doctrine, and training methods.
In January 2013, China’s Ministry of National
Defense released information about the PLA’s
2012 military diplomacy, which it stated had
stood severe tests under a difficult
international
and
regional
situation
throughout the year. In 2012, senior military
officials from at least 25 countries visited
China, including officials from Australia,
Germany, Russia and Ukraine. Senior PLA
officials visited at least 33 countries, including
India, Poland, Tanzania, and Turkey. The
PLA participated in UN peacekeeping
operations (PKO), carried out humanitarian
assistance and disaster relief work in Pakistan
and conducted the second global goodwill
voyage of the PLA Navy ZHENG HE
training vessel. PLA leaders participated in
various multilateral meetings, including the
Defense Ministers’ Meeting of the Shanghai
Cooperation Organization (SCO) and the
Association of Southeast Asian Nations
(ASEAN) Regional Forum Security Policy
Conference.
Combined Exercises. PLA participation in
bilateral and multilateral exercises is
increasing. The PLA derives political benefit
through increased influence and enhanced ties
with partner states and organizations. Such
exercises provide the PLA opportunities to
improve capabilities and gain operational
insights by observing tactics, command
decision-making, and equipment used by
more advanced militaries.
In 2011 and 2012 alone, the PLA held 21 joint
exercise and training events with foreign
militaries, compared to 32 during the entire
11th Five-Year Plan period (2006-2010). These
activities included military exercises with SCO
members, naval exercises, ground forces
training, peacekeeping, and search and rescue
operations/missions. China also conducted
joint training for operations other than war,
including the 2011 COOPERATION SPIRIT
humanitarian
assistance/disaster
relief
(HA/DR) exercise with Australia. China
observed KHAN QUEST-11, a peacekeeping
exercise in Mongolia – the first time it had
done so. The PLA Navy conducted maritime
exercises with Russia, Vietnam, and Thailand
1and counter-piracy exercises with France and
the United States.
The PLA Air Force (PLAAF) conducted
unprecedented bilateral training during 2011,
including its first bilateral air exercise with
Pakistan and training with air forces in Belarus
and Venezuela. In contrast, the PLA Air
Force participated in only one bilateral
exercise in 2012 – an airborne training
exercise with Belarus in November. PEACE
MISSION 2012, conducted under the
auspices of the SCO, did not include PLA Air
Force participation as in the past, and instead
focused on what SCO nations called
“counterterrorism” training, which more
closely resembles training to suppress armed
opposition within a member country.
Peacekeeping Operations (PKO). Over
the past ten years, China has increased its
commitment to UN PKO by approximately
ten fold, building to its current level of
approximately 2,000 personnel in 11
operations, mostly in sub-Saharan Africa and
the Middle East. This level of support has
been steadily maintained since 2008 and is the
highest among the permanent members of the
UN Security Council. In total, China has
deployed more than 21,000 troops to 30 UN
missions and bears 3.93 percent of the UN’s
current peacekeeping budget of $7.23 billion.
PKO participation can serve various
objectives, including improving China’s
international image, obtaining operational
experience, providing opportunities to gather
intelligence, and advancing the PLA’s “New
Historic Missions” by taking on roles and
generating capabilities for operations far
beyond China’s borders. China is currently
taking steps to meet these objectives by
committing civilian police, military observers,
engineers, logistics support, and medical
troops to UN missions while abstaining from
missions that might result in regime change or
lack host country consent.
In 2012, China for the first time deployed
infantry to a UN PKO. This “guard unit,” as
Chinese media described it, is tasked with
security for the PLA engineering and medical
formed military units in its contingent
deployed to the United Nations Mission in
the Republic of South Sudan (UNMISS).
These forces, likely no more than 50
personnel from the 162nd Motorized Infantry
Division, are equipped with armored vehicles,
enabling them to provide fixed-site security
and convoy escorts.
Chinese Arms Sales. From 2007 to 2011,
Chinese arms sales totaled approximately $11
billion. As of this report’s publication, data
for 2012 arms sales was not yet available.
China primarily conducts arms sales in
conjunction with economic aid and
development assistance to support broader
foreign-policy goals such as securing access to
natural resources and export markets,
promoting its increasing political influence
among host-country elites, and buildingOFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF
DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
support in international forums. Arms sales, by China’s Central Military
Commission); and
however, also can reflect the profit-seeking the first combined counter-
piracy exercise
activities of individual arms trading companies with the U.S. Navy. After
its departure from
and efforts to offset defense-related research the Gulf of Aden, the 11th
escort formation
and development costs. For example, China visited Ukraine and Turkey,
and for the first
continues to develop and market unmanned time for the PLA Navy,
Romania, Bulgaria
aerial vehicles (UAVs) abroad, and in 2012, and Israel. Ships engaged in
counter-piracy
unveiled a new tactical UAV, the Yi Long, also conducted port calls in
Australia,
which will likely be marketed to developing Mozambique, and Thailand
during 2012.
countries.
From the perspective of China’s arms have identified protecting China’s
sovereignty
customers (most of whom are developing and territorial integrity as a
“core interest” and
countries), Chinese arms are less expensive all officials repeatedly state
China’s opposition
than those offered by the top international to and willingness to
respond to actions it
arms suppliers, although they are also perceives as challenging this
core interest. In
generally of lower quality and reliability. 2012, this was demonstrated
by Chinese
Chinese arms also come with fewer political actions at Scarborough
Reef in the South
strings attached, which is attractive to those China Sea and the Senkaku
Islands in the East
customers who may not have access to other China Sea.
sources of arms for political or economic
reasons. China also offers relatively generous
terms and flexible payment options to some
customers.
Counter-Piracy Efforts. China continues to
support counter-piracy efforts in the Gulf of
Aden, a commitment which began in
December 2008. In July 2012, the PLA Navy
deployed its 12th escort formation, which
included two guided missile frigates and one
oiler.
Operational highlights for this
formation included the retrieval of 26 crew
members of the fishing vessel Xufu-1 from
Somalia following their release by pirates in
July 2012 (an operation that was recognized
Territorial Disputes. Senior Chinese officials
The Chinese government maintains that its
maritime rights extend to virtually the entire
South China Sea and often illustrates this
claim using a “nine-dash line” that
encompasses much of the South China Sea
area. At the same time, Beijing is ambiguous
about the precise meaning of the nine-dash
line; to date, China has not clarified the
meaning of the nine-dash line or its legal basis.
In April 2012, Chinese maritime law
enforcement vessels and Philippine coast
guard vessels engaged in a protracted standoff
at Scarborough Reef, after the Philippine
Navy attempted to conduct a fishing
enforcement action against Chinese fishermen.
3Although overt tensions between China and
the Philippines subsided by year’s end, both
sides continue to claim jurisdiction over the
reef. Chinese law enforcement vessels have
maintained an almost continuous presence
ever since.
In November 2012, China also added a map
which contained the nine-dash line to all of its
new passports. This action elicited negative
responses from other nations in the Asia-
Pacific region. China’s increased reference in
official government materials to the nine-dash
line is a source of concern to its neighbors
and other nations because, at a minimum, it
creates an impression that China is not merely
claiming all the land features within the nine-
dash line, but it may also be claiming a special
sovereign status of all the water and the sea-
bed contained therein.
China claims sovereignty over the Senkaku
Islands (what the Chinese refer to as the
Diaoyu Islands) in the East China Sea,
territory also claimed by Taiwan and Japan.
In April 2012, the Governor of Tokyo
announced plans to purchase three of the five
islets from private Japanese owners. In
response,
in
September
2012,
the
Government of Japan purchased the three
islands. China protested the move and since
that time has regularly sent maritime law
enforcement ships (and, less often, aircraft) to
patrol near the Senkakus to protect its claims;
this has included regular Chinese maritime
operations within 12nm of the islands. On
September 25, China published a white paper
entitled, “Diaoyu Dao, an ’Inherent Territory’
of China.” In addition, in September 2012,
China began using improperly drawn straight
baseline claims around the Senkaku Islands,
adding to its network of maritime claims
inconsistent with international law.
In
December 2012, China submitted information
to the U.N. Commission on the Limits of the
Continental Shelf regarding China’s extended
continental shelf in the East China Sea that
includes the disputed islands.
THE SECURITY SITUATION IN THE
TAIWAN STRAIT
Dealing with a potential contingency in the
Taiwan Strait remains the PLA’s primary
mission despite decreasing tensions there - a
trend which continued following the re-
election of Taiwan President Ma Ying-jeou in
January 2012.
In this context, should
deterrence fail, the PLA could be called upon
to compel Taiwan to abandon independence
or to re-unify with the mainland by force of
arms while defeating any third-party
intervention on Taiwan’s behalf.
Cross-Strait Stability.
China and Taiwan
have reached 18 agreements for cross-Strait
cooperation on economic, cultural, and
functional issues, but Taiwan authorities and
the broader Taiwan public do not support
negotiation on issues directly related to
sovereignty.OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
China and Taiwan have also undertaken some
combined security and police operations, and
held a combined maritime rescue exercise in
August 2012 featuring two helicopters, 14
vessels, and 300 personnel, with both sides
equally represented. Also in August, Chinese
and Taiwan police apprehended 30 suspects in
a human-trafficking and prostitution ring – a
first collaborative effort to combat human
trafficking.
During a mid-October 2011 speech, President
Ma stated that a cross-Strait peace agreement
with China might be attainable in 10 years, but
backed down immediately in the face of
widespread negative public reaction and Ma
specified the conditions under which he
would pursue such an agreement. Despite
occasional signs of impatience, China appears
content to respect Taiwan’s current approach
to cross-Strait relations. In November 2012,
Xi Jinping, China’s newly selected general
secretary of the CCP Central Committee sent
a message to President Ma (in the latter’s
capacity as chairman of the ruling
Kuomintang Party), emphasizing the need to
continue promoting the peaceful development
of cross-Strait relations. This early message
suggests that China under Xi Jinping may be
willing to follow President Hu Jintao’s multi-
pronged strategy for developing cross-Strait
relations rather than compelling unification
through the use of force. President Hu in his
report to the 18th Party Congress in
November 2012 used language that promoted
peaceful reunification and called for both
sides to explore political relations and make
reasonable arrangements to discuss the
creation of a military confidence-building
mechanism.
CURRENT CAPABILITIES OF THE
PEOPLE’S LIBERATION ARMY
Second Artillery.
The Second Artillery
controls China’s nuclear and conventional
ballistic missiles. It is developing and testing
several new classes and variants of offensive
missiles, forming additional missile units,
upgrading older missile systems, and
developing methods to counter ballistic
missile defenses.
By December 2012, the Second Artillery’s
inventory of short-range ballistic missiles
(SRBM) deployed to units opposite Taiwan
stood at more than 1,100. This number
reflects the delivery of additional missiles and
the fielding of new systems. To improve the
lethality of this force, the PLA is also
introducing new SRBM variants with
improved ranges, accuracies, and payloads.
China is fielding a limited but growing
number of conventionally armed, medium-
range ballistic missiles, including the DF-21D
anti-ship ballistic missile (ASBM). The DF-
21D is based on a variant of the DF-21 (CSS-
5) medium-range ballistic missile (MRBM)
and gives the PLA the capability to attack
large ships, including aircraft carriers, in the
5western Pacific Ocean. The DF-21D has a
range exceeding 1,500 km and is armed with a
maneuverable warhead.
The Second Artillery continues to modernize
its nuclear forces by enhancing its silo-based
intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) and
adding more survivable mobile delivery
systems. In recent years, the road-mobile,
solid-propellant CSS-10 Mod 1 and CSS-10
Mod 2 (DF-31 and DF-31A) intercontinental-
range ballistic missiles have entered service.
The CSS-10 Mod 2, with a range in excess of
11,200 km, can reach most locations within
the continental United States. China may also
be developing a new road-mobile ICBM,
possibly capable of carrying a multiple
independently targetable re-entry vehicle
(MIRV).
PLA Navy (PLAN). The PLA Navy has the
largest force of major combatants,
submarines, and amphibious warfare ships in
Asia. China’s naval forces include some 79
principal surface combatants, more than 55
submarines, 55 medium and large amphibious
ships, and roughly 85 missile-equipped small
combatants.
In the most publicized PLA Navy
modernization event of 2012, after a year of
extensive sea trials, China commissioned its
first aircraft carrier, the Liaoning, in September
2012. The PLA Navy successfully conducted
its first launch and recovery of the carrier-
capable J-15 fighter on November 26, 2012.
The Liaoning will continue integration testing
and training with the aircraft during the next
several years, but it is not expected to embark
an operational air wing until 2015 or later.
China also continues to pursue an indigenous
aircraft carrier program (the Liaoning is a
refurbished vessel, purchased from Ukraine in
1998), and will likely build multiple aircraft
carriers over the next decade. The first
Chinese-built carrier will likely be operational
sometime in the second half of this decade.
The PLA Navy places a high priority on the
modernization of its submarine force. China
continues the production of JIN-class
nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines
(SSBN). Three JIN-class SSBNs (Type 094)
are currently operational, and up to five may
enter service before China proceeds to its next
generation SSBN (Type 096) over the next
decade. The JIN-class SSBN will carry the
new JL-2 submarine launched ballistic missile
with an estimated range of more than 4,000
nm. The JIN-class and the JL-2 will give the
PLA Navy its first credible sea-based nuclear
deterrent.
China also has expanded its force of nuclear-
powered attack submarines (SSN). Two
SHANG-class SSNs (Type 093) are already in
service, and China is building four improved
variants of the SHANG-class SSN, which will
replace the aging HAN-class SSNs (Type
091). In the next decade, China will likely
construct the Type 095 guided-missile attack
submarine (SSGN), which may enable aOFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF
DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
submarine-based land-attack capability. In
addition to likely incorporating better quieting
technologies, the Type 095 will fulfill
traditional anti-ship roles with the
incorporation of torpedoes and anti-ship
cruise missiles (ASCMs).
The current mainstay of the Chinese
submarine force is modern diesel powered
attack submarines (SS). In addition to 12
KILO-class submarines acquired from Russia
in the 1990s and 2000s (eight of which are
equipped with the SS-N-27 ASCM), the PLA
Navy possesses 13 SONG-class SS (Type 039)
and eight YUAN-class SSP (Type 039A). The
YUAN-class SSP is armed similarly to the
SONG-class SS, but also includes an air-
independent power system. China may plan
to construct up to 20 YUAN-class SSPs.
Since 2008, the PLA Navy has embarked on a
robust surface combatant construction
program of various classes of ships, including
guided missile destroyers (DDG) and guided
missile frigates (FFG). During 2012, China
continued series production of several classes,
including construction of a new generation of
DDG. Construction of the LUYANG II-
class DDG (Type 052C) continued, with one
ship entering service in 2012, and an
additional three ships under various stages of
construction and sea trials, bringing the total
number of ships of this class to six by the end
of 2013. Additionally, China launched the
lead ship in a follow-on class, the LUYANG
III- class DDG (Type 052D), which will likely
enter service in 2014. The LUYANG III
incorporates the PLA Navy’s first
multipurpose vertical launch system, likely
capable of launching ASCM, land attack cruise
missiles (LACM), surface-to-air missiles
(SAM), and anti-submarine rockets. China is
projected to build more than a dozen of these
ships to replace its aging LUDA-class
destroyers (DD). China has continued the
construction of the workhorse JIANGKAI II-
class FFG (Type 054A), with 12 ships
currently in the fleet and six or more in
various stages of construction, and yet more
expected. These new DDGs and FFGs
provide a significant upgrade to the PLA
Navy’s area air defense capability, which will
be critical as it expands operations into
“distant seas” beyond the range of shore-
based air defense.
Augmenting the PLA Navy’s littoral warfare
capabilities, especially in the South China Sea
and East China Sea, is a new class of small
combatant. At least six of the JIANGDAO-
class corvettes (FFL) (Type 056) were
launched in 2012. The first of these ships
entered service on February 25, 2013; China
may build 20 to 30 of this class. These FFLs
augment the 60 HOUBEI-class wave-piercing
catamaran missile patrol boats (PTG) (Type
022), each capable of carrying eight YJ-83
ASCMs, for operations in littoral waters.
The PLA Navy also increased its amphibious
force in 2012.
Two YUZHAO-class
amphibious transport docks (LPD) (Type
7071) were accepted into service during the
year bringing the total of YUZHAO LPDs to
three.
PLA Air Force (PLAAF).
China bases
approximately 500 combat aircraft within
unrefueled operational range of Taiwan and
has the airfield capacity to expand that
number by hundreds. China continues to
field increasingly modern 4th generation
aircraft, but the force still consists mostly of
older 2nd and 3rd generation aircraft, or
upgraded variants of those aircraft.
Within two years of the J-20 stealth fighter’s
first flight in January 2011, China tested a
second next generation fighter prototype.
The prototype, referred to as the “J-31,” is
similar in size to a U.S. F-35 fighter and
appears to incorporate design characteristics
similar to the J-20. It conducted its first flight
on October 31, 2012.
China continues upgrading its H-6 bomber
fleet (originally adapted from the late 1950s
Soviet Tu-16 design) with a new variant that
possesses greater range and will be armed
with a long-range cruise missile. China also
uses a modified version of the H-6 aircraft to
conduct aerial refueling operations for many
of its indigenous aircraft, increasing their
combat range.
The PLA Air Force possesses one of the
largest forces of advanced SAM systems in the
world, consisting of a combination of
Russian-sourced SA-20 battalions
domestically produced HQ-9 battalions.
and
China’s aviation industry is developing a large
transport aircraft (likely referred to as the Y-
20) to supplement China’s small fleet of
strategic airlift assets, which currently consists
of a limited number of Russian-made IL-76
aircraft. These heavy lift transports are
needed to support airborne command and
control (C2), logistics, paradrop, aerial
refueling, and reconnaissance operations, as
well as humanitarian assistance and disaster
relief missions.
Developments in China’s commercial and
military aviation industry indicate improved
aircraft manufacturing, associated technology,
and systems development capabilities. Some
of these advances have been made possible by
business partnerships with Western aviation
and aerospace firms (including cleared U.S.
defense contractors), which provide overall
benefit to China’s military aerospace industry.
China will continue to seek advancement in
aerospace technology, capability, and
proficiency to rival Western capabilities.
PLA Ground Force. The PLA is investing
heavily in modernizing its ground force,
emphasizing the ability to deploy campaign-
level forces across long distances quickly. This
modernization is playing out with wide-scale
restructuring of PLA ground forces that
includes a more rapid, flexible special
operations force equipped with advancedOFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF
DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
technology; improved army aviation units
utilizing ultra-low altitude mobility helicopters
armed with precision-guided munitions; and
command and control (C2) capabilities with
improved networks providing real-time data
transmissions within and between units. In
addition, the PLA has focused its
modernization efforts on transforming from a
motorized to a mechanized force, as well as
improving the ground force’s armored, air
defense, aviation, ground-air coordination,
and electronic warfare (EW) capabilities. PLA
ground forces have benefited from increased
production of new equipment, including the
Z-10 and Z-19 attack helicopters. New air
defense equipment includes the PLA ground
force’s first medium-range SAM, the CSA-16,
as well as domestically-produced CSA-15s (a
copy of the Russian SA-15) and a new
advanced self-propelled air defense artillery
system, the PGZ-07. PLA ground force
restructuring
is highlighted
by
the
development of brigades as a key operational
echelon for combat in diverse terrain and
under complex electromagnetic conditions.
The ground force is a proponent of joint
operations since it requires transport from
other forces to operate beyond China’s
borders. To assist with its power projection
needs, PLA ground forces have practiced
using commercial transport assets such as roll-
on/roll-off ships, to conduct maritime
crossing operations. However, broader joint
operations capability are still the primary goal
for the ground force, a goal that is now a
mandate for all the military services following
the General Staff Department’s (GSD)
December 2011 creation of the Military
Training Department to oversee all PLA
training, ensuring all military services realize
the “prominence of joint training.”
Space
Capabilities.
In 2012, China
conducted 18 space launches. China also
expanded its space-based intelligence,
surveillance,
reconnaissance,
navigation,
meteorological, and communications satellite
constellations. In parallel, China is developing
a multi-dimensional program to improve its
capabilities to limit or prevent the use of
space-based assets by adversaries during times
of crisis or conflict.
During 2012, China launched six Beidou
navigation satellites.
These six satellites
completed the regional network as well as the
in-orbit validation phase for the global
network, expected to be completed by 2020.
China launched 11 new remote sensing
satellites in 2012, which can perform both
civil and military applications. China also
launched three communications satellites, five
experimental
small
satellites,
one
meteorological satellite, one relay satellite, and
a manned space mission.
China continues to develop the Long March 5
(LM-5) rocket, which is intended to lift heavy
payloads into space. LM-5 will more than
double the size of the Low Earth Orbit
9(LEO) and Geosynchronous Orbit (GEO)
payloads China is capable of placing into
orbit. To support these rockets, China began
constructing the Wenchang Satellite Launch
Center in 2008. Located on Hainan Island,
this launch facility is expected to be complete
around 2013, with the initial LM-5 launch
scheduled for 2014.
Military Information Operations. Chinese
writings have outlined the five key features at
an operational level of a maturing Chinese
information operations (IO) strategy. First,
Chinese authors emphasize defense as the top
priority and indicate that Computer Network
Defense (CND) must be the highest priority
in peacetime; Chinese doctrine suggests that
“tactical counteroffensives” would only be
considered if an adversary’s operations could
not be countered. Second, IO is viewed as an
unconventional warfare weapon, which must
be established in the opening phase of the
conflict and continue during all phases of
war. Third, IO is characterized as a
preemption weapon to be used under the
rubric of achieving information dominance
and
controlling
the
electromagnetic
spectrum. Fourth, IO is seen as a tool to
permit China to fight and win an information
campaign, precluding the need for
conventional military action. Fifth, potential
Chinese adversaries, in particular the United
States, are seen as “information dependent.”
An IO campaign includes actions taken to
seize and maintain campaign information
superiority, unify command campaign
information operational forces, carry out
information warfare-related reconnaissance,
and offensive and defensive information
warfare methods. According to a PLA
military manual, there are many types of
supporting IO to campaigns including an
island-landing campaign IO, blockade
campaign IO, fire power attack campaign IO,
border counterattack campaign IO, counter-
landing campaign IO, and counter-airstrike
campaign IO. These IO campaigns can be
sub-divided into joint campaign IO and
combined arms campaign IO. Depending on
the military services involved in the campaign,
IO can be further divided into army campaign,
navy, air force, and strategic missile force
campaign IO. Their primary tasks are to
protect the PLA’s campaign information
systems, collect intelligence from enemy
information
systems,
destroy
enemy
information systems, and weaken the enemy’s
ability to acquire, transmit, process, and use
information during war.
The PLA continues to conduct frequent
military exercises demonstrating advances in
information technology and information
integration of its military forces. China has
performed integrated joint combat operations
exercises showcasing intelligence acquisition,
joint command, joint strike, and support
operations,
increasingly
incorporated
information technology and information
integration into its annual training
requirement. A number of annual exerciseOFFICE OF THE SECRETARY
OF DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
series, including the Vanguard, Lianhe, and Joint
Education series have increased required
integration and full reliance on information
technology for command of complex
operations. In 2012, according to PLA
newspapers, many military exercises banned
paper maps and orders altogether. Also in
2012, there was an increasing emphasis on
PLA command academies participating in
joint exercises using command information
technologies, which indicates proficiency on
such platforms is now a requirement for
graduation to higher command positions.
DEVELOPMENTS IN CHINESE
MILITARY DOCTRINE AND
TRAINING
In 2012, the PLA heavily emphasized training
under realistic, high-technology conditions.
The Chinese aim to operate in “informatized”
conditions by emphasizing system-of-systems
operations, a concept similar to U.S. network-
centric warfare. This requires linking
geographically
dispersed
forces
and
capabilities into an integrated system capable
of unified action. These operational training
reforms are a result of the Outline of Military
Training and Evaluation (OMTE), which was
last published in mid-2008 and became
standard across the PLA on January 1, 2009.
Since that time, the PLA has pushed to
achieve OMTE objectives by emphasizing
realistic training conditions, training in
complex
electromagnetic
and
joint
environments, and integrating new and high
technologies into the force structure. A result
of these changes is a more flexible year-round
training cycle, which is a departure from the
Soviet-style conscript-dependent training
cycles that were prominent throughout the
PLA over the previous decades.
Additionally, the PLA is laying the foundation
for future changes in military doctrine. To
develop a new cadre of officers, the PLA is
reforming its academies to cultivate junior
officers proficient with and capable of
leveraging technology in all warfighting
functions for joint operations. The National
University of Defense Technology’s year-long
joint operations staff officer course is serving
as a pilot for a future national-level program.
The course allows junior officers to rotate to
the command elements of other PLA services
to enhance their skills in joint operations
planning and preparation.
ADVANCED TECHNOLOGY
ACQUISITION
China relies on foreign technology, acquisition
of key dual-use components, and focused
indigenous research and development (R&D)
to advance military modernization.
The
Chinese utilize a large, well-organized network
to facilitate collection of sensitive information
and export-controlled technology from U.S.
defense sources. Many of the organizations
composing
China’s
military-industrial
complex have both military and civilian
11research and development functions. This
network of government-affiliated companies
and research institutes often enables the PLA
to access sensitive and dual-use technologies
or knowledgeable experts under the guise of
civilian research and development.
The
enterprises and institutes accomplish this
through technology conferences and symposia,
legitimate contracts and joint commercial
ventures, partnerships with foreign firms, and
joint development of specific technologies. In
the case of key national security technologies,
controlled equipment, and other materials not
readily obtainable through commercial means
or academia, China has utilized its intelligence
services and employed other illicit approaches
that involve violations of U.S. laws and export
controls.
A high-priority for China’s advanced
technology acquisition strategy is its Civil-
Military Integration policy to develop an
innovative dual-use technology and industrial
base that serve both military and civilian
requirements. China’s defense industry has
benefited from integration with its expanding
civilian economy and science and technology
sectors, particularly sectors with access to
foreign technology. Examples of technologies
include: advanced aviation and aerospace (hot
section technologies, avionics and flight
controls), source code, traveling wave tubes,
night vision devices, monolithic microwave
integrated circuits, and information and cyber
technologies.
Differentiating between civil and military end-
use is very challenging in China due to opaque
corporate structures, hidden asset ownership,
and the connections of commercial personnel
with the central government.
Some
commercial entities are affiliated with PLA
research institutes, or have ties to and are
subject to the control of government
organizations such as the State-owned Assets
Supervision and Administration Commission.
In March 2012, Hui Sheng Shen and Huan
Ling Chang, both from Taiwan, were charged
with conspiracy to violate the U.S. Arms
Export Control Act after allegedly intending
to acquire and pass sensitive U.S. defense
technology to China. The pair planned to
photograph the technology, delete the images,
bring the memory cards back to China, and
have a Chinese contact recover the images.
In June 2012, Pratt & Whitney Canada (PWC),
a subsidiary of U.S. aerospace firm and
defense contractor United Technologies
Corporation (UTC), pleaded guilty to illegally
providing military software used in the
development of China's Z-10 military attack
helicopter.
UTC and two subsidiaries agreed to pay $75
million and were debarred from license
privileges as part of a settlement with the U.S.
Department of Justice and State Department.
PWC "knowingly and willfully" caused six
versions of military electronic engine control
software to be "illegally exported" fromOFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF
DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
Hamilton Sundstrand in the United States to
PWC in Canada and then to China for the Z-
10, and made false and belated disclosures
about these illegal exports.
In September 2012, Sixing Liu, aka “Steve
Liu,” was convicted of violating the U.S.
Arms Export Control Act and the
International Traffic in Arms Regulations
(ITAR) and possessing stolen trade secrets.
Liu, a Chinese citizen, returned to China with
electronic files containing details on the
performance and design of guidance systems
for missiles, rockets, target locators, and
unmanned aerial vehicles. Liu developed
critical military technology for a U.S. defense
contractor and stole the documents to
position himself for employment in China.
132
UNDERSTANDING CHINA’S
STRATEGYOFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
NATIONAL-LEVEL PRIORITIES
AND GOALS
China’s leaders characterize the first two
decades of the 21st century as a “strategic
window of opportunity.” They assess that
during this period, both domestic and
international conditions will be conducive to
expanding China’s “comprehensive national
power,” a term that encapsulates all elements
of state power, including economic capacity,
military might, and diplomacy. China’s leaders
anticipate that a successful expansion of
comprehensive national power will serve
China’s strategic objectives, which include:
perpetuating Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
rule, sustaining economic growth and
development, maintaining domestic political
stability, defending national sovereignty and
territorial integrity, and securing China’s status
as a great power.
China’s leaders routinely emphasize the goal
of reaching critical economic and military
benchmarks by 2020. These benchmarks
include
successfully
restructuring
the
economy to maintain growth and increase the
quality of living of China’s citizens to promote
stability; making major progress in military
modernization; and attaining the capability to
fight and win potential regional conflicts,
including those related to Taiwan, protection
of sea lines of communication (SLOCs),
defense of territorial claims in the South
China Sea and East China Sea, and the
defense of western borders. Statements by
Chinese leaders indicate that, in their view, the
development of a modern military is necessary
for China to achieve greater power status.
These statements also indicate that the
Chinese leadership views a modern military as
a critical deterrent to prevent actions by
outside powers that could damage Chinese
interests, or to allow China to defend itself
against such actions should deterrence fail.
Since China launched its “reform and
opening” in late 1978, the essential elements
of China’s strategy to accomplish these goals
have remained relatively constant. Rather
than challenge the existing global order, China
has adopted a pragmatic approach to
international
relations
and
economic
development that seeks to strengthen the
economy, modernize the military, and solidify
the CCP’s hold on power. China balances the
imperative to reassure countries that its rise is
“peaceful” with the imperative to strengthen
its control over existing sovereignty and
territorial claims.
China regards stable relations with its
neighbors and the United States as essential to
its stability and development.
China
continues to see the United States as the
dominant regional and global actor with the
greatest potential to both support and,
potentially, disrupt China’s rise. In addition,
China remains concerned that should regional
states come to view China as a threat, they
might balance against China through unilateral
military modernization or through coalitions,
15possibly with the United States.
Many
Chinese officials and the public see the U.S.
rebalance to Asia as a reflection of “Cold War
thinking” and as a way to contain China’s rise.
Despite its desire to project an image of a
developing country engaged in a peaceful
development strategy, China’s efforts to
defend national sovereignty and territorial
integrity (underpinned by growing economic
and military capabilities) have occasionally
manifested in assertive rhetoric and behavior
that generate regional concerns about its
intentions.
Prominent examples of this
include China’s response to Japan’s arrest of a
PRC fishing trawler captain following a
collision with Japanese coast guard vessels in
2010, its use of punitive trade policies as an
instrument of coercion, its actions to shield
North Korea from the international response
to its sinking of the South Korean naval vessel,
Cheonan, and its action to pressure Vietnam
and the Philippines in the South China Sea
and Japan in the East China Sea. Official
statements and media during these situations
indicate that China sees itself as responding to
perceived threats to its national interests or
provocations by outside actors. China’s lack
of transparency surrounding its growing
military capabilities and strategic decision-
making has also increased concerns in the
region about China’s intentions. Absent a
move towards greater transparency, these
concerns will likely intensify as the PLA
modernization progresses.OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
Origin of the “New Historic Missions”
In 2004, former President Hu Jintao articulated a mission statement for
the armed forces titled,
the “Historic Missions of the Armed Forces in the New Period of the New
Century.” These “new
historic missions” focus primarily on adjustments in the leadership’s
assessment of the
international security environment and the expanding definition of
national security. These
missions were further codified in a 2007 amendment to the CCP
Constitution. The missions, as
currently defined, include:
• Provide an important guarantee of strength for the party to
consolidate its ruling
position.
• Provide a strong security guarantee for safeguarding the period of
strategic
opportunity for national development.
• Provide a powerful strategic support for safeguarding national
interests.
• Play an important role in safeguarding world peace and promoting
common
development.
According to official writings, the driving factors behind the articulation
of these missions were:
changes in China’s security situation, challenges and priorities regarding
China’s national
development, and a desire to realign the tasks of the PLA with the CCP’s
objectives. Politburo
member and CMC Vice Chairman Xu Caihou in 2005 asserted “the
historic missions embody the
new requirements imposed on the military by the Party’s historic tasks,
accommodate new
changes in our national development strategy, and conform to the new
trends in global military
development.” While these missions are not expected to replace the
defense of China’s
sovereignty in importance, implications for PLA modernization may be
increased preparation for
and participation in international peacekeeping and disaster relief
operations, interaction with
the international community that allows the PLA more opportunities to
learn from other militaries,
and greater efforts to improve PLA logistics and transport capabilities.
FACTORS SHAPING CHINA’S
LEADERSHIP PERCEPTIONS
Chinese leaders continue to view themselves
as operating in a “window of opportunity” to
advance their priorities of economic
development, territorial integrity, and
domestic stability.
Although domestic
stability is believed to be China’s top priority,
official documents indicate that China sees its
security environment becoming more
“complex” as a result of several factors:
Economics.
Continued
economic
development remains the bedrock of social
stability. A wide range of economic factors
could disrupt this trajectory, including a
failure to shift away from its overreliance on
investment and exports to drive growth.
China’s leaders scaled back GDP targets for
2011-2015 (from 8 percent to 7.5 percent) to
mitigate risk of overheating and to manage
expectations. Other potential economic risks
for China include shifting global trade
patterns, domestic resource constraints, rising
17wages driven by labor shortages, or attempts
to challenge China’s access to global resources,
including energy.
Nationalism. Communist Party leaders and
military officials continue to be affected by,
and in some cases exploit, nationalism to
bolster the legitimacy of the Party, deflect
domestic criticism, and justify their own
inflexibility in dialogues with foreign
interlocutors. However, nationalist forces
could ultimately restrict the leadership’s
decision-making on key policy issues or
pressure the CCP if these forces perceive
party leaders as insufficiently satisfying
nationalist goals.
Regional Challenges to China’s Interests.
Tensions with Japan in the East China Sea
and with South China Sea claimants challenge
to China’s desire to maintain a stable
periphery. Combined with a greater U.S.
presence in the region, these factors raise
Chinese concerns that regional countries will
strengthen their military capabilities or
increase security cooperation with the United
States to balance China.
Domestic Unrest.
The CCP continues to
face long-term popular demands for limiting
corruption and improving government
responsiveness,
transparency,
and
accountability. If unmet, these factors likely
weaken the legitimacy of the CCP in the eyes
of the Chinese people. The Arab Spring and
fears of a Jasmine Revolution amplify
historical concerns about internal stability.
Environment.
China’s
economic
development has come at a high
environmental cost.
China’s leaders are
increasingly concerned that environmental
degradation
could
undermine
regime
legitimacy
by
threatening
economic
development, public health, social stability,
and China’s international image.
Demographics. China faces the dual threat
of a rapidly aging population and a declining
birth rate, one that now falls below
replacement level. Longer life expectancies
may force China to allocate more resources to
social and health services, while the declining
birth rate will continue to reduce China’s
supply of young and inexpensive labor, a key
driver of the country’s three decades of
economic growth. This dual phenomenon
could lead to economic stagnation that could
threaten CCP legitimacy.OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
China’s Energy Strategy
China’s engagement, investment, and foreign construction related to
energy continue to grow.
China has constructed or invested in energy projects in more than 50
countries, spanning nearly
every continent. This ambitious investment in energy assets is driven
primarily by two factors. First,
China is increasingly dependent upon imported energy to sustain its
economy. A net oil
exporter until 1993, China remains suspicious of international energy
markets. Second, energy
projects present a viable option for investing China’s vast foreign
currency holdings.
In addition to ensuring reliable energy sources, Beijing hopes to
diversify producers and transport
options. Although energy independence is no longer realistic for China,
given population
growth and increasing per capita energy consumption, Beijing still seeks
to maintain a supply
chain that is less susceptible to external disruption.
In 2011, China imported approximately 58 percent of its oil;
conservative estimates project that
China will import almost two-thirds of its oil by 2015 and three-quarters
by 2030. Beijing looks
primarily to the Persian Gulf, Africa, and Russia/Central Asia to satisfy its
growing demand, with
imported oil accounting for approximately 11 percent of China’s total
energy consumption.
A second goal of Beijing’s foreign energy strategy is to alleviate China’s
heavy dependence on
SLOCs, particularly the South China Sea and the Strait of Malacca. In
2011, approximately 85
percent of China’s oil imports transited the South China Sea and the
Strait of Malacca.
Separate crude oil pipelines from Russia and Kazakhstan to China
illustrate efforts to increase
overland supply. A pipeline that would bypass the Strait of Malacca by
transporting crude oil
from Kyuakpya, Burma to Kunming, China is currently under
construction with an estimated
completion time of late 2013 or early 2014. The crude oil for this pipeline
will be supplied by
Saudi Arabia and other Middle Eastern and African countries.
Given China’s growing energy demand, new pipelines will only slightly
alleviate China’s maritime
dependency on either the Strait of Malacca or the Strait of Hormuz.
Despite China’s efforts, the
sheer volume of oil and liquefied natural gas that is imported to China
from the Middle East and
Africa will make strategic SLOCs increasingly important to Beijing.
In 2011, China imported 14.3 billion cubic meters (bcm) of natural gas,
or 46 percent of all of its
natural gas imports, from Turkmenistan to China by pipeline via
Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. This
pipeline is designed to carry 40 bcm per year with plans to expand it to
60 bcm. Another natural
gas pipeline designed to deliver 12 bcm per year of Burmese-produced
gas is under
construction and estimated for completion in late 2013 or early 2014.
This pipeline parallels the
crude oil pipeline across Burma. Beijing is negotiating with Moscow for
two pipelines that could
supply China with up to 69 bcm of gas per year; discussions have stalled
over pricing
differences.
19China's Top Crude Suppliers 2011
Country
Saudi Arabia
Angola
Iran
Russia
Oman
Iraq
Sudan
Venezuela
Kazakhstan
Kuwait
Others
Volume (1,000 barrels per day) Percentage of Imported Crude Oil
1010 20
626 12
557 11
396 8
365 7
277 5
261 5
231 5
225 4
192 4
956 19
5096 100
Total
INTERNAL DEBATE OVER that the “hide and bide” rhetoric was not a
CHINA’S REGIONAL AND “smokescreen” employed while China builds
GLOBAL ROLE its strength, but rather an admonition to be
patient and not stand out.
China’s leadership has supported former However, some Chinese
scholars question
paramount leader Deng Xiaoping’s dictum whether Deng’s policy
approach will continue
from the early 1990s that China should, to win support as China’s
interests increase
“observe calmly; secure our position; cope abroad and its power
expands. China’s
with affairs calmly; hide our capabilities and perceived security
interests have changed
bide our time; be good at maintaining a low considerably since
Deng’s era to include a
profile; and never claim leadership.” This heavy reliance on maritime
commerce.
guidance reflected Deng’s belief that Chinese China’s improving
naval capabilities enable
interests are best served by focusing on roles and missions that
would have been
internal development and stability while impossible for the PLA to
pursue just a
steering clear of challenging or confronting decade ago.
Proponents of a more active and
major powers. In December 2010, State assertive Chinese role on
the world stage have
Councilor Dai Bingguo specifically cited suggested that China
would be better served
Deng’s guidance, insisting China adhered to a by a firm stance in
the face of U.S. or other
“path of peaceful development” and would regional pressure.
These voices could increase
not seek expansion or hegemony. He asserted
OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY OF DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
as a result of renewed tensions with the
Philippines and Vietnam over the South
China Sea and with Japan over the Senkakus,
further complicating this debate.
“New Type of Relationship.” Top Chinese
leaders have repeatedly advocated for a “new
type of relationship between great powers” in
meetings with U.S. officials. The “new type
of relationship” concept urges a cooperative
U.S.-China partnership based on equality,
mutual respect, and mutual benefit. The
concept also reflects China’s aspirations to be
regarded as a great power, emphasizing
conflict avoidance to maintain its “peaceful
rise.”
China’s Periphery. The Chinese leadership
faces a policy dilemma in seeking to maintain
a stable periphery in order to assure its
“window of opportunity” for development
remains open. China also perceives other
regional countries asserting their national
interests in China’s periphery and feels
compelled to respond to ensure continued
stability; however, too strong of a response
may
motivate
regional
actors
to
counterbalance China’s rise through greater
cooperation with each other and the United
States. Therefore, China’s leaders are trying
to maintain a delicate balance between
defending territorial integrity in the face of
perceived provocations by its neighbors while
concurrently tamping down threat perceptions
across the globe. China publicly states that its
rise is “peaceful” and that it harbors no
“hegemonic” designs or aspirations for
territorial expansion. However, China’s lack
of transparency surrounding these growing
capabilities has increased concerns in the
region about China’s intentions.
China’s Territorial Disputes
China’s use of force in territorial disputes has varied throughout its
history. Some disputes led to
war, such as China’s border conflicts with India in 1962 and Vietnam in
1979. A contested
border with the former Soviet Union during the 1960s raised the
possibility of nuclear war. In more
recent cases, China has been willing to compromise with and even offer
concessions to its
neighbors. Since 1998, China has settled eleven land-based territorial
disputes with six of its
neighbors. Several disputes continue over exclusive economic zones
(EEZ) and ownership of
potentially rich, off-shore oil and gas deposits.
The East China Sea contains approximately seven trillion cubic feet of
natural gas and up to 100
billion barrels of oil. Japan maintains that an equidistant line from each
country involved should
separate the EEZs, while China claims an extended continental shelf
beyond the equidistant line
to the Okinawa Trench (which almost reaches Japan’s shore). In early
2009, Japan accused
China of violating a June 2008 agreement providing for joint exploration
of oil and natural gas
21fields, and claimed that China unilaterally drilled beneath the
demarcation line, extracting
reserves from the Japanese side. China, Japan, and Taiwan continue to
dispute possession of
the nearby Senkaku Islands.
The South China Sea plays an important role in Northeast and
Southeast Asian security
considerations. Northeast Asia relies heavily on the flow of oil and
commerce through South
China Sea shipping lanes, including over 80 percent of the crude oil to
Japan, South Korea, and
Taiwan. China claims sovereignty over the Spratly and Paracel island
groups and other land
formations within its “nine-dash line” claim - claims disputed in whole
or part by Brunei, the
Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Vietnam. Taiwan, which occupies
Itu Aba in the Spratly
Islands, makes the same claims as the PRC. In 2009, China protested
extended continental shelf
claims in the South China Sea made by Malaysia and Vietnam; in its
protest to the U.N.
Commission, China included the ambiguous nine-dash line and
reiterated that it has
“indisputable sovereignty over the islands in the South China Sea and
the adjacent waters and
enjoys sovereign rights and jurisdiction over the relevant waters as well
as the seabed and subsoil
thereof.”
Despite increased political and economic relations over the years
between China and India,
tensions remain along their shared 4,057 km border, most notably over
Arunachal Pradesh
(which China asserts is part of Tibet, and therefore of China), and over
the Aksai Chin region at
the western end of the Tibetan Plateau. Both countries in 2009 stepped
up efforts to assert their
claims. China tried to block a $2.9 billion loan to India from the Asian
Development Bank,
claiming part of the loan would have been used for water projects in
Arunachal Pradesh. This
represented the first time China sought to influence this dispute
through a multilateral institution.
The then-governor of Arunachal Pradesh announced that India would
deploy more troops and
fighter jets to the area. An Indian newspaper reported that the number
of Chinese border
violations had risen from 180 in 2011 to more than 400 by September
2012.
Power Projection Capability.
There has
also been an active debate among military and
civilian theorists in China concerning future
capabilities the PLA should develop to
advance China’s interests beyond traditional
requirements.
Some senior officers and
civilian theorists advocate an expansion of the
PLA’s power projection capabilities to
facilitate missions well beyond Taiwan and
regional disputes. Publicly, Chinese officials
contend that increasing the scope of China’s
maritime capabilities is intended to build
capacity for international peacekeeping,
humanitarian assistance, disaster relief, and
protection of sea lanes. The commissioning
of the PLA Navy’s first aircraft carrier in
2012, in addition to serving as a symbol of
national
prestige,
exemplifies
these
aspirations.
Indicators of Decision and Intent. There
are several possible indicators of change inOFFICE OF THE SECRETARY
OF DEFENSE
Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments
Involving the People’s Republic of China
Chinese decision-making, depending on the
issue. This intent could be reflected through
speeches in regional and multi-national
organizations, commentary in official,
domestic newspapers or prominent Chinese
think tanks, adjustments to China’s Defense
White Paper, changes in talking points with
civilian and military interlocutors, disposition
of forces, and changes in military diplomacy.
PLA MILITARY ENGAGEMENT
The PLA’s level of engagement with foreign
militaries continues to grow significantly. At
the operational level, this engagement
provides the PLA with opportunities to share
doctrines, strategies, tactics, techniques, and
procedures with other militaries - both
modern and developing. At the strategic level,
China uses military engagement as a platform
for demonstrating the PLA’s growing
capabilities, its status as a modern military,
and its potential role as a responsible security
partner.
Senior-level visits and exchanges provide
China with opportunities to increase military
officers’ international exposure, communicate
China’s positions to foreign audiences, better
understand alternative world views, and
advance
foreign
relations
through
interpersonal contacts and military assistance
programs. Expanded PLA travel abroad
enables China’s military officers to observe
and study foreign military command
structures, unit formations, and operational
training.
The PLA is participating in a growing number
of bilateral and multilateral military exercises.
The PLA derives political benefit from these
exercises in terms of increased influence and
enhanced ties with

[ Reply to This | Parent | # ]

Groklaw © Copyright 2003-2013 Pamela Jones.
All trademarks and copyrights on this page are owned by their respective owners.
Comments are owned by the individual posters.

PJ's articles are licensed under a Creative Commons License. ( Details )