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Excellent piece - should be required reading for judges, congressional reps and senators
Authored by: Gringo_ on Wednesday, October 03 2012 @ 07:40 PM EDT

In more recent times, Microsoft has become the chief among the patent trolls. Once the giant of the software industry Microsoft has been unable to make the leap to portable devices such as telephones and tablet PCs. Unable to create and produce for the marketplace, Microsoft now attempts to claim a share of the profits Googles generates in this market through patent litigation. A firm that when it was young and innovative had a strong position against software patents – Bill Gates said in 1991: “If people had understood how patents would be granted when most of today's ideas were invented and had taken out patents, the industry would be at a complete standstill today...A future start-up with no patents of its own will be forced to pay whatever price the giants choose to impose.” – now lobbies in Europe and Asia for the introduction of software patents, which it already obtained in its home country.

Later...

Hence we see both Apple and Microsoft attacking Google with patent litigation. Apple in an effort to keep the market to itself for a few more years; Microsoft because it is better to get a share of Google’s revenue than be shut out of the market completely. The actual economic value of Microsoft’s patents can be measured by their inability to produce a product that occupies more than a small corner of a large and growing market.

Only one small blemish due to naivety...

Hence the best solution is to abolish patents entirely through strong constitutional measures...

Forget constitutional amendments. It's never going to happen, and not necessary anyhow.

[ Reply to This | Parent | # ]

Oh!
Authored by: Ian Al on Thursday, October 04 2012 @ 04:26 AM EDT
It is about patents and not just software patents.

I searched for 'software' and was set back on my heels by this:
It is also the case that modern “disclosure” in patents is negligible – it is essentially impossible to build a functioning device or software program from a modern patent application, a fact which is especially clear since some patented ideas do not – and cannot – work. A case in point is the patent for moving information through the fifth dimension.
The piece is well informed and well argued. It goes right to the essence of the reason the Constitution gives for patents.

This is at the root of the “patent puzzle”: in spite of the enormeous increase in the number of patents and in the strength of their legal protection we have neither seen a dramatic acceleration in the rate of technological progress nor a major increase in the levels of R&D expenditure – in addition to the discussion in this paper, see Lerner [2009] and literature therein. As we shall see, there is strong evidence, instead, that patents have many negative consequences. Both of these observations, the evidence in support of which has grown steadily over time, are consistent with theories of innovation that emphasize competition and first-mover advantage as the main drivers of innovation and directly contradict “Schumpeterian” theories postulating that government granted monopolies are crucial in order to provide incentives for innovation.

The differing predictive and explanatory powers of the two alternative classes of models persist when attention is shifted to the historical evidence on the life-cycle of industries. The initial eruption of small and large innovations leading to the creation of a new industry – from chemicals to cars, from radio and TV to personal computers and investment banking – is seldom, if ever, born out of patent protection and is, instead, the fruits of highly competitive-cooperative environments. It is only after the initial stages of explosive innovation and rampant growth end that mature industries turn toward the legal protection of patents, usually because their internal growth potential diminishes and the industry structure become concentrated.
Amen to that.

Unfortunately, the following quote is on-topic, but I just don't care.
On the other side of the coin, the rationale for patent systems is weak. In most industries the first mover advantage and the competitive rents it induces are substantial without patents. Again: the smart-phone industry – laden as it is with patent litigation – is a case in point. Apple derived enormous profits in this market before it faced any substantial competition. The first iPhone was released on June 29, 2007. The first serious competitor, the HTC Dream (using the Android operating system) was released only on October 22, 2008. By that time over 5 million iPhones had been sold, and sales soared to over 25 million units during the subsequent year, while total sales of all Android based phones was less than 7 million.

In the tablet market the iPad still has no serious competitor despite having been introduced on April 10, 2010. While it is hard to prove this delayed imitation would have occurred also in the complete absence of patents, it is a fact that Apple did not try to use patents to prevent the Android phones from coming into its market and the subsequent “patents’ fight” has been taking place largely after 2010, something that the Boldrin and Levine [2004] model predicts. More to the point, companies typically instruct their engineers developing products to avoid studying existing patents so as to be spared subsequent claims of wilful infringement, which raises the possibility of having to pay triple damages. Based on sworn testimony by Google’s chief of Android development in Oracle vs. Google the engineers that developed Android were unaware of Apple (or other) patents, and so were unlikely to have been helped by them.

How valuable financially, for Apple, was the delay in the Android phones entry? Based largely on the fact that Apple has kept its first mover advantage in spite of a large imitative entry in this market, the value of Apple stock – during a severe market downturn – has gone up by a factor of approximately five.

While there may have been some delay in competition due to Apple’s threat – since executed – of patent litigation, the fact is that similar but less successful devices had been available for a number of years before Apple finally cracked the market.
We tend to whisper that Apple's patent attacks are anti-competitive rather than protection of their inventions, but this article puts it front of stage. That they reference the model that predicts this behaviour is stunning.

I cannot see this paper has having any substantive effect on the patent system. The only implied recommendation is to substantially weaken the protection to restore the patent boost to innovation called for by the Constitution, or the complete abandonment of the system and the allowance of First to Market Advantage be a company's only advantage. I think that vested interests will ensure that this report is ridiculed and buried for being dangerously accurate in its findings.

---
Regards
Ian Al
Software Patents: It's the disclosed functions in the patent, stupid!

[ Reply to This | Parent | # ]

with standard? "disclaimer" on page 0
Authored by: Anonymous on Thursday, October 04 2012 @ 08:29 AM EDT
"The views expressed are those of .... and not necessarily reflect official
positions of ....."

Is this standard or are the writers on a different page than de federal reserve
bank ?

[ Reply to This | Parent | # ]

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