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More bad news for Nokia | 273 comments | Create New Account
Comments belong to whoever posts them. Please notify us of inappropriate comments.
More bad news for Nokia
Authored by: Anonymous on Friday, June 15 2012 @ 10:59 PM EDT
It takes time to turn around and their feature phone market collapsed a lot
faster than expected.

Phone makers are also beholden to carriers and manufacturers who are
already selling phones well. A model that wishes to break in at the level
Nokia now needs has to be highly desirable from the point of view of the
customer, the carrier, and the maker. Those three parties do not
necessarily align with regards to what they want to see. For instance, a
consumer wants their phone to get updated and the carrier wants the
customer to get a new phone and reset the two year contract.


Handing off the os to Microsoft isn't the worst idea, but it has these flaws:
Microsoft has been talking about the next os for a year, so any WP7 phone
is less desirable among those paying attention. In the US, Lumia is AT&T
only, which limits the top end. The iPhone is still top dog at AT&T, so
Nokia
and Microsoft have to spend more to make it worth AT&T's while to push
the Lumias. Meanwhile Google is already playing the os provider game
well, so makers don't need Microsoft to save them from Apple. Nokia,
though could have figured that being another Android phone was also not
going to propel them back to the sales and margin (profit) levels they
needed. Not the worst idea, but not looking like a winner 17 months down
the road.

[ Reply to This | Parent | # ]

More bad news for Nokia
Authored by: Anonymous on Sunday, June 17 2012 @ 02:30 AM EDT

I suspect that the Nokia board made the decision to go with Windows, and asked Microsoft for someone to execute the strategy. Elop had no experience in either the phone business or in other consumer electronics markets. The phone market moves fast, and destroying your old product (Symbian) before you had a new one on the market was stupid. Elop however would be used to enterprise customers who *couldn't* change suppliers at short notice.

Something that I find particularly bizarre is the statements that issued forth from Nokia that they needed Microsoft's help to get better penetration in the "North American market". First, there's no "North American market". The phone market in Canada is radically different than in the US and none of the carriers are the same. What was selling in the US is not what was selling in Canada (where Symbian phones were actually selling quite well). That seems to indicate that the board was not too clued into the nature of the respective markets they were basing their decision on.

What is more, the idea that *Microsoft* could help Nokia in either market is laughable. Microsoft's reputation in the phone market was absolutely abysmal, based on how bad their previous versions of phone software were. *Microsoft* needed *Nokia's* help in the US and Canada.

Microsoft is a slow and bureaucratic company with poor internal coordination, and has difficulty making decisions. Nokia needed a partner that could speed them up, not hold them back. They are the two worst possible companies to pair together in a market like that.

Nokia would have been better off putting out some Android phones while they tried to get their own strategy in order. Even if it wasn't what they wanted to do in the long run, that would have got some cash coming in to pay the bills. Instead, Nokia had the idea that by selling phones that had software that nobody wanted to buy, they could "differentiate" their product. A small share of a big Android pie is better than a large share of a few Windows crumbs.

I feel sorry for the Nokia employees, and I feel sorry for Finland. I can't see how Nokia can save themselves now though. I wouldn't pin all the blame on Elop however. Again, I think he was brought in to execute a strategy that the board had already decided on. They wanted someone with good connections at Microsoft, and they wanted an outsider who could be make the unpopular decisions and then got rid of later. At this point they probably realise their mistake, but are now all too busy looking for ways to escape the blame that is sure to follow.

[ Reply to This | Parent | # ]

More bad news for Nokia
Authored by: Anonymous on Sunday, June 17 2012 @ 09:06 AM EDT

The working assumption I have, with quite a bit of circumstantial evidence, is that there are lots of large institutional US shareholders which hold both Nokia and Microsoft with an emphasis on the latter. The idea has probably been to sacrifice Nokia in order to save Microsoft.

The world of computing is changing in the same way as the Mainframe to PC transition. More cheaper mobile devices are replacing fewer larger PCs. If Microsoft fails to make this transition then it will die the death of Digital without even the IBM like service reputation available to change into something different. Nokia was Microsoft's best chance to get Windows onto mobile devices.

If true, this would be very difficult to prove, but worth it since almost certainly something illegal would have to have been done. At the very least hiding information from small shareholders.

[ Reply to This | Parent | # ]

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